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ALBERTA REFERENDUM 2026
CONNECTINGAREAS— / —IN—UPDATED—
Watching—Views—
BREAKING
Awaiting first bulletin.

QUESTION 10UNOFFICIAL

REMAIN IN CANADA

BEGIN REFERENDUM PROCESS

Q10 BALLOTS COUNTED

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AREAS REPORTING

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Alberta Referendum 2026 live results — map, division occupancy and instruments

87 divisions found.

Loading the map

Drawing 87 divisions

Q10 · REMAIN VS. REFERENDUM PROCESS
STANDBY
REMAINREFERENDUM PROCESSNO COUNT

VALID VOTES ONLY · REJECTED BALLOTS ARE NOT PUBLISHED IN THE LIVE FEED

COLOUR BY

CLOSING WATCH · AREA REPORTING

0 NEAR FULL COVERAGE0/87 ALL AREAS REPORTING

Awaiting live area counts. No reporting coverage is inferred from the frozen analysis.

Outstanding votes unknown. Reporting areas can still add question votes.

THE BALANCESTANDBY

REMAIN

REFERENDUM PROCESS

MARGIN

REPORTINGSTANDBY

POLLS REPORTING

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VOTE STREAMSTANDBY
REMAINREFERENDUM PROCESS
87 DIVISIONS0 / 87
STANDING BY0 DIV ·— AREAS LEFT
Q10 + Q1–Q9Q10 REMAIN VS REF
DATA & DEMOGRAPHIC STUDIO2021 CENSUS × 2023 PGE × 2026 COUNT

How the ten answers and 87 divisions hang together

The 15 strongest 2023 UCP areas

Q10 and Q5 voting methods, with Q5 No share and its provincial rank.

October 21, 2026 · 4:29 PM MT · Frozen unofficial, partial count · Areas, not individual voters

View comparison

FROZEN ANALYSIS · Oct 20, 2026, 19:31 MT: 91.15% of areas reporting · n = 86 counted divisions. Ecological fallacy applies — aggregate patterns never describe individual voters.

Separate from the live count. Province shares are vote-weighted; group means weight each division equally. Policy means weight Q1–Q9 equally within each division.

THE SIGNATURE DIVERGENCE · Q1–Q9 POLICY YES MEAN MINUS Q10 REMAIN SHARE

At the frozen capture, the province-wide Q10 Remain share was 75.2%. Provincial Q1–Q9 YES shares ranged from 49.4%–63.5%. A ±15 percentage-point division gap defines the three descriptive groups:

COHEN’S D DEMOGRAPHIC PROFILE · REFERENDUM-RELUCTANTPOOLED SD (DF-WEIGHTED)

Comparing the 9 Referendum-Reluctant divisions against the other 77 counted divisions at capture:

  • Ag/forestry12.8% vs 2.3% · d = +2.54
  • Bachelor+13.7% vs 31.8% · d = -1.31
  • ImmigrantDESCRIPTIVE ONLY8.0% vs 24.1% · d = -1.31
  • Visible minorityDESCRIPTIVE ONLY5.3% vs 28.9% · d = -1.26
  • High school31.5% vs 25.0% · d = +1.22
  • Postsecondary53.4% vs 65.1% · d = -1.16
  • Dwelling value$317,111 vs $416,740 · d = -0.96
  • Unemployment9.9% vs 11.7% · d = -0.90
INTERACTIVE DIVERGENCE DUMBBELL · 9 DIVISIONS IN QUADRANT

Each horizontal connector links a division’s Q10 Remain share (blue node) to its Q1–Q9 Policy-YES mean (gold node). Hover or click any row to inspect & highlight on the map.

Q10 REMAIN %Q1–Q9 POLICY YES %
25%50% MAJORITY100%
HOVER OR CLICK ANY DIVISION BAR ABOVE TO INSPECT ITS MLA, CENSUS PROFILE & MAP LOCATION

THE BREAKDOWN

SHARE OF VALID VOTES

BREAKDOWN PENDING

LIVE COMMENTARY
AWAITING FIRST BULLETINNEW BULLETINS PRINT HERE

Live commentary tape, newest first.

WHAT WOULD IT TAKE?ESTIMATED SCENARIOS0 SCENARIOS · 0 CLOSE MARGINS

LARGER ESTIMATED HURDLE

NO SCENARIO AVAILABLE — COUNTS MAY STILL CHANGE

CLOSE MARGINS

NOTHING CLOSE YET

Average-area estimate for not-yet-reporting areas only. Reporting areas can still add votes.

No estimated scenarios available. Area reporting does not establish count completion.

THE READ
READ PENDING
REPORTING
  1. 10%
  2. 25%
  3. 50%
  4. 75%
  5. 90%
  6. 100%

TOP 10 PLACES

Q10 · Alberta's place

Remain in Canada, or start the legal process toward a separation referendum.

REMAIN IN CANADA

OPTION 1 · REMAIN

TOP 10
GATHERING…

SHARE OF COUNTED BALLOTS · MIN 100 · TIES BY VOTES

REPLAY
RECORDING

RECORDING · REPLAY UNLOCKS AFTER THE SECOND UPDATE

CLIENT-SIDE RECORD · NO UPDATES YET

WHAT AM I LOOKING AT?

TEN BALLOT QUESTIONS · PLAIN ENGLISH · UNOFFICIAL RESULTS

  1. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Do you support the Government of Alberta taking increased control over immigration for the purposes of decreasing immigration to more sustainable levels, prioritizing economic migration and giving Albertans first priority on new employment opportunities?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  2. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Do you support the Government of Alberta introducing a law mandating that only Canadian citizens, permanent residents and individuals with an Alberta-approved immigration status will be eligible for provincially-funded programs, such as health care, education and other social services?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  3. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Assuming that all Canadian citizens and permanent residents continue to qualify for social support programs as they do now, do you support the Government of Alberta introducing a law requiring all individuals with a non-permanent legal immigration status to reside in Alberta for at least 12 months before qualifying for any provincially-funded social support programs?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  4. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Assuming that all Canadian citizens and permanent residents continue to qualify for public health care and education as they do now, do you support the Government of Alberta charging a reasonable fee or premium to individuals with a non-permanent immigration status living in Alberta for their and their family's use of the health care and education systems?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  5. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Do you support the Government of Alberta introducing a law requiring individuals to provide proof of citizenship, such as a passport, birth certificate or citizenship card, to vote in an Alberta provincial election?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  6. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to have provincial governments, and not the federal government, select the justices appointed to provincial King's Bench and Appeal courts?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  7. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to abolish the unelected federal Senate?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  8. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to allow provinces to opt out of federal programs that intrude on provincial jurisdiction such as health care, education and social services, without a province losing any of the associated federal funding for use in its social programs?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  9. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Do you support the Government of Alberta working with the governments of other willing provinces to amend the Canadian Constitution to better protect provincial rights from federal interference by giving a province's laws dealing with provincial or shared areas of constitutional jurisdiction priority over federal laws when the province's laws and federal laws conflict?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
  10. EXACT OFFICIAL WORDING +

    Should Alberta remain a province of Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?

    ELECTIONS ALBERTA SOURCE ↗
REMAIN / YESREFERENDUM PROCESS / NONO COUNTSELECT A ROW TO COLOUR THE MAP