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Selected by 2023 UCP vote share

Fifteen divisions. Two referendum questions.

Start with the 15 divisions with the highest UCP share of valid votes in Alberta’s 2023 provincial election. Keep that group fixed, then compare counted 2026 votes by method for Q10, Alberta’s place in Canada, and Q5, proof of citizenship to vote.

Unofficial · Partial countFrozen Q5/Q10 snapshot · no automatic refresh

Same fixed group in both questions

Q5 No share, with the province alongside

Selected 15 · valid Q10 votes
294,436
988/1,041 Q10 location rows have counts
Selected 15 · valid Q5 votes
279,276
988/1,041 Q5 location rows have counts
Selected 15 · Q5 No share
24.74%
69,098 No / 279,276 valid Q5 votes
All 87 · provincial Q5 No share
39.76%
686,713 No / 1,727,295 valid Q5 votes

Both Q5 shares divide summed No votes by summed valid Q5 votes; they are not averages of division percentages. The province includes the selected 15. Both are provisional, and question-specific counting progress can affect the comparison.

The same fifteen, by voting method

Compare each method’s valid Q10 and Q5 counts, then its Q5 No percentage. The last column uses only valid Q5 votes within that method, summed across the same 15 divisions.

Fixed top-15 2023 UCP areas · October 21, 2026 · 4:29 p.m. MT · frozen unofficial, partial Q5/Q10 count
Voting methodQ10 valid votesQ5 valid votesQ5 No votesQ5 No share
within this method
Election day129,040127,22325,25019.85%
Advance123,215117,01127,78923.75%
Mobile3,6833,21674523.17%
Mail-in38,49831,82615,31448.12%

Q5 No share within a method = counted No votes ÷ all counted valid Q5 votes using that method in the selected 15. The two questions’ counts can be at different stages. These totals do not link individual voters across questions or show which method an individual 2023 UCP voter used in 2026.

Fixed group · 15 divisions

The voting methods, question by question

All 30 bars use the same absolute scale:
0–30,000 valid votes

October 21, 2026 · 4:29 p.m. MT · Frozen unofficial, partial count. Q5 and Q10 can be at different stages of counting.

Election dayAdvanceMobileMail-in

Lengths show counted valid votes, rather than percentages of each bar. Mail-in counts refer only to that question. Null location rows have no reported count; numeric zeros show only what is currently published, and neither establishes final completion or the absence of voters. Division totals at the right are valid votes across all methods.

  1. #1

    Drumheller-Stettler

    ED 59 · 2023 UCP share rank

    82.1%15,270 / 18,590 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 20,084

    71/71 Q10 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q10: Election day 9,347; Advance 8,391; Mobile 447; Mail-in 1,899.Mail-in share 9.46% of 20,084 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 19,754

    71/71 Q5 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q5: Election day 9,286; Advance 8,261; Mobile 326; Mail-in 1,881.Mail-in share 9.52% of 19,754 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    3,653
    Q5 No share
    18.5%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #87 of 87

    Q5 No share = 3,653 / 19,754 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  2. #2

    Central Peace-Notley

    ED 55 · 2023 UCP share rank

    77.7%9,280 / 11,946 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 12,896

    59/60 Q10 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q10: Election day 7,086; Advance 4,807; Mobile 83; Mail-in 920.Mail-in share 7.13% of 12,896 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 12,056

    59/60 Q5 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q5: Election day 6,981; Advance 4,082; Mobile 81; Mail-in 912.Mail-in share 7.56% of 12,056 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    2,549
    Q5 No share
    21.1%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #84 of 87

    Q5 No share = 2,549 / 12,056 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  3. #3

    Grande Prairie-Wapiti

    ED 64 · 2023 UCP share rank

    76.2%15,093 / 19,801 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 12,620

    73/81 Q10 location rows with counts · 8 without counts

    Q10: Election day 10,054; Advance 0; Mobile 247; Mail-in 2,319.Mail-in share 18.38% of 12,620 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 21,644

    73/81 Q5 location rows with counts · 8 without counts

    Q5: Election day 9,154; Advance 9,947; Mobile 230; Mail-in 2,313.Mail-in share 10.69% of 21,644 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    4,715
    Q5 No share
    21.8%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #83 of 87

    Q5 No share = 4,715 / 21,644 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  4. #4

    Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul

    ED 51 · 2023 UCP share rank

    75.5%13,315 / 17,642 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 12,439

    55/74 Q10 location rows with counts · 19 without counts

    Q10: Election day 7,291; Advance 2,628; Mobile 262; Mail-in 2,258.Mail-in share 18.15% of 12,439 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 12,215

    55/74 Q5 location rows with counts · 19 without counts

    Q5: Election day 7,222; Advance 2,599; Mobile 253; Mail-in 2,141.Mail-in share 17.53% of 12,215 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    3,754
    Q5 No share
    30.7%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #60 of 87

    Q5 No share = 3,754 / 12,215 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  5. #5

    Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills

    ED 76 · 2023 UCP share rank

    75.3%18,228 / 24,209 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 27,518

    71/71 Q10 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q10: Election day 10,545; Advance 12,980; Mobile 374; Mail-in 3,619.Mail-in share 13.15% of 27,518 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 27,474

    71/71 Q5 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q5: Election day 10,375; Advance 12,889; Mobile 355; Mail-in 3,855.Mail-in share 14.03% of 27,474 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    6,209
    Q5 No share
    22.6%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #81 of 87

    Q5 No share = 6,209 / 27,474 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  6. #6

    Taber-Warner

    ED 85 · 2023 UCP share rank

    75.3%12,379 / 16,442 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 18,358

    69/70 Q10 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q10: Election day 7,337; Advance 8,669; Mobile 234; Mail-in 2,118.Mail-in share 11.54% of 18,358 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 18,211

    69/70 Q5 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q5: Election day 7,332; Advance 8,563; Mobile 224; Mail-in 2,092.Mail-in share 11.49% of 18,211 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    4,013
    Q5 No share
    22.0%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #82 of 87

    Q5 No share = 4,013 / 18,211 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  7. #7

    Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright

    ED 86 · 2023 UCP share rank

    74.4%13,097 / 17,604 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 17,801

    55/66 Q10 location rows with counts · 11 without counts

    Q10: Election day 7,286; Advance 8,149; Mobile 390; Mail-in 1,976.Mail-in share 11.10% of 17,801 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 18,875

    55/66 Q5 location rows with counts · 11 without counts

    Q5: Election day 7,238; Advance 9,464; Mobile 228; Mail-in 1,945.Mail-in share 10.30% of 18,875 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    3,989
    Q5 No share
    21.1%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #85 of 87

    Q5 No share = 3,989 / 18,875 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  8. #8

    Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock

    ED 49 · 2023 UCP share rank

    74.3%15,631 / 21,032 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 23,351

    62/62 Q10 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q10: Election day 10,388; Advance 9,380; Mobile 471; Mail-in 3,112.Mail-in share 13.33% of 23,351 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 23,305

    62/62 Q5 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q5: Election day 10,382; Advance 9,281; Mobile 437; Mail-in 3,205.Mail-in share 13.75% of 23,305 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    6,011
    Q5 No share
    25.8%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #76 of 87

    Q5 No share = 6,011 / 23,305 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  9. #9

    Cardston-Siksika

    ED 54 · 2023 UCP share rank

    74.1%10,550 / 14,234 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 17,411

    67/68 Q10 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q10: Election day 10,093; Advance 5,763; Mobile 96; Mail-in 1,459.Mail-in share 8.38% of 17,411 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 17,665

    67/68 Q5 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q5: Election day 10,351; Advance 5,779; Mobile 81; Mail-in 1,454.Mail-in share 8.23% of 17,665 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    5,319
    Q5 No share
    30.1%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #64 of 87

    Q5 No share = 5,319 / 17,665 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  10. #10

    Drayton Valley-Devon

    ED 58 · 2023 UCP share rank

    73.7%16,532 / 22,431 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 25,710

    68/68 Q10 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q10: Election day 10,502; Advance 11,110; Mobile 169; Mail-in 3,929.Mail-in share 15.28% of 25,710 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 25,549

    68/68 Q5 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q5: Election day 10,436; Advance 10,995; Mobile 156; Mail-in 3,962.Mail-in share 15.51% of 25,549 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    6,013
    Q5 No share
    23.5%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #80 of 87

    Q5 No share = 6,013 / 25,549 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  11. #11

    Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche

    ED 60 · 2023 UCP share rank

    73.6%7,692 / 10,455 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 13,119

    54/63 Q10 location rows with counts · 9 without counts

    Q10: Election day 5,220; Advance 6,595; Mobile 108; Mail-in 1,196.Mail-in share 9.12% of 13,119 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 8,063

    54/63 Q5 location rows with counts · 9 without counts

    Q5: Election day 4,891; Advance 1,915; Mobile 81; Mail-in 1,176.Mail-in share 14.59% of 8,063 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    2,388
    Q5 No share
    29.6%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #67 of 87

    Q5 No share = 2,388 / 8,063 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  12. #12

    Peace River

    ED 77 · 2023 UCP share rank

    72.8%8,236 / 11,307 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 14,706

    69/69 Q10 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q10: Election day 7,570; Advance 6,054; Mobile 129; Mail-in 953.Mail-in share 6.48% of 14,706 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 13,660

    69/69 Q5 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q5: Election day 7,596; Advance 5,953; Mobile 111; Mail-in 0.Mail-in share 0.00% of 13,660 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    4,650
    Q5 No share
    34.0%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #54 of 87

    Q5 No share = 4,650 / 13,660 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  13. #13

    West Yellowhead

    ED 87 · 2023 UCP share rank

    71.8%14,456 / 20,135 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 23,229

    73/74 Q10 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q10: Election day 8,922; Advance 11,613; Mobile 197; Mail-in 2,497.Mail-in share 10.75% of 23,229 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 11,494

    73/74 Q5 location rows with counts · 1 without counts

    Q5: Election day 8,832; Advance 0; Mobile 190; Mail-in 2,472.Mail-in share 21.51% of 11,494 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    2,874
    Q5 No share
    25.0%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #78 of 87

    Q5 No share = 2,874 / 11,494 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  14. #14

    Innisfail-Sylvan Lake

    ED 66 · 2023 UCP share rank

    71.6%16,385 / 22,882 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 26,474

    73/73 Q10 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q10: Election day 8,963; Advance 12,855; Mobile 219; Mail-in 4,437.Mail-in share 16.76% of 26,474 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 26,868

    73/73 Q5 location rows with counts · 0 without counts

    Q5: Election day 8,925; Advance 13,317; Mobile 208; Mail-in 4,418.Mail-in share 16.44% of 26,868 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    6,643
    Q5 No share
    24.7%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #79 of 87

    Q5 No share = 6,643 / 26,868 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

  15. #15

    Chestermere-Strathmore

    ED 56 · 2023 UCP share rank

    69.7%15,362 / 22,048 valid votes
    Q10Q10 total valid votes: 28,720

    69/71 Q10 location rows with counts · 2 without counts

    Q10: Election day 8,436; Advance 14,221; Mobile 257; Mail-in 5,806.Mail-in share 20.22% of 28,720 valid votes.

    Q5Q5 total valid votes: 22,443

    69/71 Q5 location rows with counts · 2 without counts

    Q5: Election day 8,222; Advance 13,966; Mobile 255; Mail-in 0.Mail-in share 0.00% of 22,443 valid votes.

    Q5 No votes
    6,318
    Q5 No share
    28.2%
    Q5 No-share rank
    #71 of 87

    Q5 No share = 6,318 / 22,443 valid Q5 votes. Rank 1 is the highest No percentage among all 87 divisions; zero-total divisions are unranked.

Full method and response table 15 divisions · two questions each · exact counts and coverage

Scroll horizontally for all columns. Q5 No is opposition to the proof-of-citizenship proposal. Q10 option 2 begins the legal process for a binding referendum; it does not itself decide separation.

Fixed 2023 UCP top fifteen, ranked by valid-vote share; frozen 2026 Q5 and Q10 counts
Division2023 UCP
share / rank
QuestionElection dayAdvanceMobileMail-inOther recorded
methods
All valid
question votes
Mail-in shareResponsesQ5 No shareQ5 No-share
rank / 87
Location rows
with counts
Division minus
poll-row votes
59 · Drumheller-Stettler82.14% · #1Q109,3478,3914471,899020,0849.46%Remain: 10,312
Begin referendum process: 9,772
——71/71
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
59 · Drumheller-Stettler82.14% · #1Q59,2868,2613261,881019,7549.52%Yes: 16,101
No: 3,653
18.49%#87 of 8771/71
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
55 · Central Peace-Notley77.68% · #2Q107,0864,80783920012,8967.13%Remain: 6,382
Begin referendum process: 6,514
——59/60
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
55 · Central Peace-Notley77.68% · #2Q56,9814,08281912012,0567.56%Yes: 9,507
No: 2,549
21.14%#84 of 8759/60
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
64 · Grande Prairie-Wapiti76.22% · #3Q1010,05402472,319012,62018.38%Remain: 6,770
Begin referendum process: 5,850
——73/81
8 without counts
+0 · reconciled
64 · Grande Prairie-Wapiti76.22% · #3Q59,1549,9472302,313021,64410.69%Yes: 16,929
No: 4,715
21.78%#83 of 8773/81
8 without counts
+0 · reconciled
51 · Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul75.47% · #4Q107,2912,6282622,258012,43918.15%Remain: 7,763
Begin referendum process: 4,676
——55/74
19 without counts
+0 · reconciled
51 · Bonnyville-Cold Lake-St. Paul75.47% · #4Q57,2222,5992532,141012,21517.53%Yes: 8,461
No: 3,754
30.73%#60 of 8755/74
19 without counts
+0 · reconciled
76 · Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills75.29% · #5Q1010,54512,9803743,619027,51813.15%Remain: 15,216
Begin referendum process: 12,302
——71/71
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
76 · Olds-Didsbury-Three Hills75.29% · #5Q510,37512,8893553,855027,47414.03%Yes: 21,265
No: 6,209
22.60%#81 of 8771/71
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
85 · Taber-Warner75.29% · #6Q107,3378,6692342,118018,35811.54%Remain: 9,859
Begin referendum process: 8,499
——69/70
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
85 · Taber-Warner75.29% · #6Q57,3328,5632242,092018,21111.49%Yes: 14,198
No: 4,013
22.04%#82 of 8769/70
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
86 · Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright74.40% · #7Q107,2868,1493901,976017,80111.10%Remain: 10,790
Begin referendum process: 7,011
——55/66
11 without counts
+0 · reconciled
86 · Vermilion-Lloydminster-Wainwright74.40% · #7Q57,2389,4642281,945018,87510.30%Yes: 14,886
No: 3,989
21.13%#85 of 8755/66
11 without counts
+0 · reconciled
49 · Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock74.32% · #8Q1010,3889,3804713,112023,35113.33%Remain: 13,685
Begin referendum process: 9,666
——62/62
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
49 · Athabasca-Barrhead-Westlock74.32% · #8Q510,3829,2814373,205023,30513.75%Yes: 17,294
No: 6,011
25.79%#76 of 8762/62
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
54 · Cardston-Siksika74.12% · #9Q1010,0935,763961,459017,4118.38%Remain: 9,918
Begin referendum process: 7,493
——67/68
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
54 · Cardston-Siksika74.12% · #9Q510,3515,779811,454017,6658.23%Yes: 12,346
No: 5,319
30.11%#64 of 8767/68
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
58 · Drayton Valley-Devon73.70% · #10Q1010,50211,1101693,929025,71015.28%Remain: 14,052
Begin referendum process: 11,658
——68/68
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
58 · Drayton Valley-Devon73.70% · #10Q510,43610,9951563,962025,54915.51%Yes: 19,536
No: 6,013
23.54%#80 of 8768/68
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
60 · Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche73.57% · #11Q105,2206,5951081,196013,1199.12%Remain: 7,800
Begin referendum process: 5,319
——54/63
9 without counts
+0 · reconciled
60 · Fort McMurray-Lac La Biche73.57% · #11Q54,8911,915811,17608,06314.59%Yes: 5,675
No: 2,388
29.62%#67 of 8754/63
9 without counts
+0 · reconciled
77 · Peace River72.84% · #12Q107,5706,054129953014,7066.48%Remain: 8,456
Begin referendum process: 6,250
——69/69
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
77 · Peace River72.84% · #12Q57,5965,9531110013,6600.00%Yes: 9,010
No: 4,650
34.04%#54 of 8769/69
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
87 · West Yellowhead71.80% · #13Q108,92211,6131972,497023,22910.75%Remain: 13,942
Begin referendum process: 9,287
——73/74
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
87 · West Yellowhead71.80% · #13Q58,83201902,472011,49421.51%Yes: 8,620
No: 2,874
25.00%#78 of 8773/74
1 without counts
+0 · reconciled
66 · Innisfail-Sylvan Lake71.61% · #14Q108,96312,8552194,437026,47416.76%Remain: 15,028
Begin referendum process: 11,446
——73/73
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
66 · Innisfail-Sylvan Lake71.61% · #14Q58,92513,3172084,418026,86816.44%Yes: 20,225
No: 6,643
24.72%#79 of 8773/73
0 without counts
+0 · reconciled
56 · Chestermere-Strathmore69.68% · #15Q108,43614,2212575,806028,72020.22%Remain: 19,829
Begin referendum process: 8,891
——69/71
2 without counts
+0 · reconciled
56 · Chestermere-Strathmore69.68% · #15Q58,22213,9662550022,4430.00%Yes: 16,125
No: 6,318
28.15%#71 of 8769/71
2 without counts
+0 · reconciled

Read each answer in its question

Q5 · Proof of citizenship to vote

No is opposition to introducing the proof-of-citizenship requirement described in this question. The No-share rank is among all 87 divisions, with rank 1 indicating the highest counted No percentage.

Exact Q5 wording
Do you support the Government of Alberta introducing a law requiring individuals to provide proof of citizenship, such as a passport, birth certificate or citizenship card, to vote in an Alberta provincial election?

Q10 · Remain or begin the referendum process

Option 1 is Alberta remaining a province in Canada. Option 2 begins the legal process required for a binding referendum on whether Alberta should separate; selecting option 2 does not itself decide separation.

Exact Q10 wording
Should Alberta remain a province of Canada, or should the Government of Alberta commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada?

Option 1: Alberta should remain a province in Canada.

Option 2: The Government of Alberta should commence the legal process required under the Canadian Constitution to hold a binding provincial referendum on whether or not Alberta should separate from Canada

Selection, sources and downloads

All figures count valid votes. Rejected, declined and blank ballots and eligible nonvoters are excluded. Location reporting is shown for each question; no completion, turnout or individual-voter claim follows from these counts. Any difference between division totals and recorded voting methods is shown separately as a reconciliation warning.

October 21, 2026 · 4:29 p.m. MT · Frozen unofficial, partial Q5/Q10 snapshot. Downloaded values remain provisional and do not update automatically.

Astra 6 · independent data and source review